The residential property market in 2025: Stabilisation and key forecasts

Stabilisation of housing prices in 2025

At the beginning of 2025, the housing market in Poland enters a phase of stabilisation. The prices of flats are growing at a slower rate and their increase is close to the level of inflation. According to forecasts, in the first quarter the average price per square metre may amount to PLN 15,400, but in the following months the dynamics of increases will weaken.

Despite these changes, the prices of new flats for sale will remain relatively high. The reason for this is the rising cost of construction materials and the limited availability of land for investments. As a result, the number of offered flats for sale does not always meet the growing demand.

Housing demand and supply: Key factors

Demand for flats for sale is being driven by rising wages, government support programmes and a positive migration balance in major cities. More and more people, especially young people, are choosing to buy property, which is further boosting interest in the market.

On the other hand, the supply side is facing numerous challenges. Developers face high production costs, limited availability of materials and difficulties in acquiring suitable plots of land when offering new flats for sale. These factors mean that supply is failing to keep up with rising demand.

How will housing prices evolve? Forecasts for 2025

In 2025, experts predict moderate increases in housing prices. Although the dynamics of increases will weaken, the limited number of new flats for sale will continue to exert pressure to keep prices high.

The launch of the ‘Mieszkanie na start’ programme at the beginning of the year may further boost interest in the market. This programme aims to make it easier for young people to buy their first property. On the other hand, the announced limits on prices per square metre of flats may limit the possibility of further price rises. However, these proposals have been criticised by developers, who fear a decrease in the profitability of investments.

Government policy and the housing market

Government policies have a significant impact on the market for flats for sale. Support programmes, such as mortgage subsidies, can improve the creditworthiness of many people and thus increase the number of transactions in the market.

In contrast, high interest rates and a limited amount of land for new developments remain challenges that hinder the sector's growth. Developers who bring new flats for sale have to adapt to these realities, sometimes reducing the number of projects under construction.

Investing in real estate: Tips for 2025

For those planning to buy property in 2025, it will be crucial to take into account current market trends. Below are some practical tips:

Analyse the local market: It is worth thoroughly researching the local offer of homes for sale to identify the best investment opportunities.
Choose proven developers: When buying new flats for sale, pay attention to the reputation of the developer, which can help avoid problems with the quality of workmanship or delays.
Keep track of political changes: Government policy, including changes to support schemes or interest rates, can significantly affect investment decisions.

Summary: 2025 in light of market stabilisation

The year 2025 promises to be a time of stabilisation in the Polish property market. New flats for sale remain a popular choice, especially among young people benefiting from support programmes. Although housing prices will not fall, their increases will be moderate, which is conducive to greater availability of properties for buyers.

However, investors should carefully analyse the market and adapt their strategies to the changing conditions in order to take full advantage of the opportunities offered by the stabilising market for flats for sale.

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